Returns in Gold from 1979-80

Rolling Return – Growth (CAGR)
Yrs YEAR END Gold Price (Avg) 1 year 3 yrs 5 yrs 7 yrs 10 yrs 12 yrs 15 yrs 20 yrs 30 yrs
0 1979-80 1158.75                  
1 1980-81 1522.44 31.39%                
2 1981-82 1719.17 12.92%                
3 1982-83 1722.54 0.20% 14.13%              
4 1983-84 1858.47 7.89% 6.87%              
5 1984-85 1983.92 6.75% 4.89% 11.35%            
6 1985-86 2125.47 7.13% 7.26% 6.90%            
7 1986-87 2323.49 9.32% 7.73% 6.21% 10.45%          
8 1987-88 3082.43 32.66% 15.82% 12.34% 10.60%          
9 1988-89 3175.22 3.01% 14.32% 11.31% 9.16%          
10 1989-90 3229.33 1.70% 11.60% 10.23% 9.39% 10.79%        
11 1990-91 3451.52 6.88% 3.84% 10.18% 9.25% 8.53%        
12 1991-92 4297.63 24.51% 10.62% 13.09% 11.68% 9.60% 11.54%      
13 1992-93 4103.66 -4.51% 8.31% 5.89% 9.85% 9.07% 8.61%      
14 1993-94 4531.87 10.43% 9.50% 7.37% 10.01% 9.32% 8.41%      
15 1994-95 4667.24 2.99% 2.79% 7.64% 6.11% 8.93% 8.66% 9.73%    
16 1995-96 4957.60 6.22% 6.50% 7.51% 6.57% 8.84% 8.52% 8.19%    
17 1996-97 5070.71 2.28% 3.82% 3.36% 6.66% 8.12% 8.13% 7.48%    
18 1997-98 4347.07 -14.27% -2.34% 1.16% 3.35% 3.50% 6.14% 6.37%    
19 1998-99 4268.00 -1.82% -4.87% -1.19% -0.10% 3.00% 5.20% 5.70%    
20 1999-00 4393.56 2.94% -4.67% -1.20% 0.98% 3.13% 3.00% 5.44% 6.89%  
21 2000-01 4473.60 1.82% 0.96% -2.03% -0.18% 2.63% 2.90% 5.09% 5.54%  
22 2001-02 4579.12 2.36% 2.37% -2.02% -0.27% 0.64% 2.95% 4.63% 5.02%  
23 2002-03 5332.36 16.45% 6.67% 4.17% 1.05% 2.65% 3.69% 3.72% 5.81%  
24 2003-04 5718.95 7.25% 8.53% 6.03% 1.73% 2.35% 2.41% 4.00% 5.78%  
25 2004-05 6145.38 7.46% 10.30% 6.94% 5.07% 2.79% 3.42% 4.38% 5.82%  
26 2005-06 6900.56 12.29% 8.97% 9.05% 7.10% 3.36% 3.57% 4.73% 6.06%  
27 2006-07 9240.32 33.91% 17.34% 15.08% 11.21% 6.18% 5.86% 5.24% 7.15%  
28 2007-08 9995.62 8.17% 17.60% 13.39% 12.17% 8.68% 6.02% 6.11% 6.06%  
29 2008-09 12889.74 28.95% 23.16% 17.65% 15.93% 11.69% 8.08% 7.22% 7.26%  
30 2009-10 15756.09 22.24% 19.47% 20.72% 16.74% 13.62% 11.33% 8.45% 8.25% 9.09%
31 2010-11 19227.08 22.03% 24.37% 22.75% 18.91% 15.70% 13.36% 9.46% 8.97% 8.82%
32 2011-12 25722.42 33.78% 25.90% 22.72% 22.69% 18.84% 15.87% 11.43% 9.36% 9.44%
33 2012-13 30163.93 17.27% 24.17% 24.72% 23.46% 18.92% 17.24% 13.79% 10.49% 10.01%
34 2013-14 27154.38 -9.98% 12.20% 16.07% 16.65% 16.86% 15.99% 13.13% 9.36% 9.35%
35 16-Oct-14 27549 1.45% 2.31% 11.82% 15.58% 16.19% 14.67% 13.02% 9.28% 9.17%
Average Retun 10.1% 9.7% 9.7% 9.4% 8.6% 8.1% 7.5% 7.3% 9.3%
Maximun Returns (%) 33.9% 25.9% 24.7% 23.5% 18.9% 17.2% 13.8% 10.5% 10.0%
Minimum Returns (%) -14% -5% -2% -0.27% 0.6% 2.4% 3.7% 5.0% 8.8%
Yearly Rolling Return Observations (A) 35 33 31 29 26 24 21 16 6
Negative Return Observations (B) 5 3 5 3 0 0 0 0 0
Probability of Loss (%) (A/B) 14% 9% 16% 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Average Gold Prices of Domestic Market:-

YEAR END Gold Price (Avg)
1979-80 1158.75
1980-81 1522.44
1981-82 1719.17
1982-83 1722.54
1983-84 1858.47
1984-85 1983.92
1985-86 2125.47
1986-87 2323.49
1987-88 3082.43
1988-89 3175.22
1989-90 3229.33
1990-91 3451.52
1991-92 4297.63
1992-93 4103.66
1993-94 4531.87
1994-95 4667.24
1995-96 4957.60
1996-97 5070.71
1997-98 4347.07
1998-99 4268.00
1999-00 4393.56
2000-01 4473.60
2001-02 4579.12
2002-03 5332.36
2003-04 5718.95
2004-05 6145.38
2005-06 6900.56
2006-07 9240.32
2007-08 9995.62
2008-09 12889.74
2009-10 15756.09
2010-11 19227.08
2011-12 25722.42
2012-13 30163.93
2013-14 27154.38
16-Oct-14 27549

 

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